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October surprise: Victoria market update, October 2026
Monthly Update

Victoria Real Estate Market Update, October 2026: Sales Up 22%, Prices Flat

Dustin Miller
Nov 4, 2026
HomeBlogMonthly UpdateVictoria Real Estate Market Update, October 2026: Sales Up 22%, Prices Flat
SummaryGaugeSalesPricesMapOff MLSFor youFAQ
Sales467+22% vs Sep
Median house$1.17M−0.7% y/y
Median condo$514K−3.8% y/y
Of asking97.7%same as Oct 2025

October 2026 in one paragraph

October 2026 in Greater Victoria: buyers came back, prices did not move. 467 homes sold in October, up 22% from 382 in September, while new listings fell 25% to 927. The median house sold for $1,166,500, −0.7% from October 2025 (245 vs 299 sales). The median condo sold for $514,500, −3.8% (124 vs 147 sales), and the median townhome for $770,700, −3.0% (81 vs 76 sales). Homes sold for 97.7% of asking, the same as a year earlier. Compared with October 2025, house and condo sales were lower and townhome sales were higher.

Source: 8X Real Estate analysis of VREB MLS® data, 13 core municipalities, residential only, pulled November 3, 2026. The board's own count was 573 sales.

Members see the sales behind these numbers, street by street.

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Watch

Victoria's October surprise: buyers came back, prices didn't

  • 0:00An October surprise
  • 0:21Buyers came back
  • 1:14Plenty of supply
  • 1:35Did prices follow?
  • 2:24Mind the median
  • 3:10Houses, condos, townhomes
  • 4:04Around the region
  • 5:47What I'm seeing on the ground
  • 6:03What it means for you
  • 6:33The bottom line

More monthly updates on YouTube

Market gauge

Who has the upper hand, by property type

Months of inventory is the number of homes for sale divided by the average monthly sales pace over the last three months. Under 4 favours sellers, 4 to 6 is balanced, over 6 favours buyers. It is the same measure used on every 8X area page.

Houses
4.4 months
Balanced market
About 1 in 4 houses for sale sells each month. 956 for sale.
Houses for sale now
Condos
6.5 months
Buyer's market
About 1 in 7 condos for sale sells each month. 863 for sale.
Condos for sale now
Townhomes
6.6 months
Buyer's market
About 1 in 7, yet 28.4% sold over asking. 415 for sale.
Townhomes for sale now
Downtown condos
6.7 months
Buyer's market
150 for sale, 22 sold in October.
  • HousesBalanced. Median $1,166,500, −0.7% (245 vs 299 sales).
  • CondosBuyer's market. Median $514,500, −3.8% (124 vs 147 sales).
  • TownhomesBuyer's market on supply, busy on demand: 81 sold, up from 76 last October.
  • Downtown condosThe softest corner of the region. A typical sale took 43 days, against 29 a year ago (all types, 23 vs 30 sales).

01 · Sales

Sales jumped 22% in a month, led by houses and townhomes

382 homes sold in September; 467 sold in October. House sales rose by a third, 184 to 245. Townhome sales rose by half, 53 to 81. Condos went from 127 to 124, essentially flat. Against October 2025, though, house and condo sales were still lower; only townhomes were up.

HousesSales, Oct 2026: 245
010020030040020252026245
−18.1% y/y · +33.2% m/m · 282 Oct avg
−18.1%vs Oct 2025
+33.2%vs Sep 2026
282Oct average, 2 prior years on record
TownhomesSales, Oct 2026: 81
02550751002025202681
+6.6% y/y · +52.8% m/m · 76 Oct avg
+6.6%vs Oct 2025
+52.8%vs Sep 2026
76Oct average, 2 prior years on record
CondosSales, Oct 2026: 124
010020030040020252026124
−15.6% y/y · −2.4% m/m · 170 Oct avg
−15.6%vs Oct 2025
−2.4%vs Sep 2026
170Oct average, 2 prior years on record
Each monthOct each yearOct average on record

Our series starts June 2024, so the Oct average covers two prior Octobers. New listings fell from 1,239 in September to 927 in October, down 25%.

02 · Prices

Prices held. Every type sits within 4% of last October

With buyers back, prices did not jump. The median house was −0.7% on a year ago, and the board's own benchmark for a typical Victoria core house rose 0.7% to $1,288,600. Two measures, the same answer: flat.

HousesMedian sale price, Oct 2026: $1.17M (245 sales)
$1.00M$1.10M$1.20M$1.30M$1.40M20252026$1.17M
−0.7% y/y · +0.2% m/m · $1.17M Oct avg
−0.7%vs Oct 2025
+0.2%vs Sep 2026
$1.17MOct average, 2 prior years on record
TownhomesMedian sale price, Oct 2026: $771K (81 sales)
$700K$750K$800K$850K$900K20252026$771K
−3.0% y/y · −0.6% m/m · $810K Oct avg
−3.0%vs Oct 2025
−0.6%vs Sep 2026
$810KOct average, 2 prior years on record
CondosMedian sale price, Oct 2026: $514K (124 sales)
$450K$500K$550K$600K$650K20252026$514K
−3.8% y/y · −3.8% m/m · $530K Oct avg
−3.8%vs Oct 2025
−3.8%vs Sep 2026
$530KOct average, 2 prior years on record
Each monthOct each yearOct average on record
By property type, October 2026 vs October 2025
TypeMedianChangeSalesOf askingOver askingDaysFor saleMonths
Houses$1,166,500−0.7%245 vs 29997.7%11.8%309564.4
Condos$514,500−3.8%124 vs 14797.3%7.3%358636.5
Townhomes$770,700−3.0%81 vs 7699.1%28.4%354156.6

In real money: houses sold for 97.7% of asking, so a house listed at $1,000,000 typically sold for about $977,000. Days is the median from listing to accepted offer.

Our count vs the board's

467 sales here, 573 from the board. Both are right.

The Victoria Real Estate Board reported 573 sales for October, up 24% from September. Our 467 covers the 13 core municipalities from Sooke to Sidney and residential sales only: houses, condos and townhomes. We leave out the Gulf Islands, Malahat and Shawnigan Lake, leasehold, land, manufactured homes and commercial sales, all of which the board's total can include. Different map, same direction.

03 · This month's feature

Mind the median: a 13% drop where nothing fell 13%

In the City of Victoria, the median sale price for all homes fell 13% from October 2025. It sounds dramatic. Look inside it and houses were flat and condos slipped.

All homes−13.2%101 vs 118 sales
Houses+0.2%28 vs 42 sales
Condos−4.5%60 vs 68 sales

What changed was the mix. Last October, 42 houses sold in the City of Victoria; this October, 28. Fewer houses in the basket and more condos pulls the middle of the basket down, even when neither price moves much. When you see a big number, ask: a big number for what?

04 · Around the region

The map: who has the upper hand, area by area

The map opens on months of inventory for all homes, the same buyer's or seller's market measure as the gauge above, using August to October so every area has enough sales. Switch to prices by type or to homes for sale against last year.

Central Saanich 4.3Colwood 5.0Esquimalt 7.4Langford 6.1MetchosinNorth Saanich 4.2Oak Bay 3.7Saanich 4.3Sidney 3.8Sooke 7.6Victoria 5.8View Royal 4.4

Pins mark the two areas where the balance between buyers and sellers moved most against last year, scored on the change in months of inventory allowing for sample size. Downtown condos are on the map every month.

Municipal medians quoted in the video, October 2026 vs October 2025
MunicipalityTypeMedianChangeSales
VictoriaHouses$1,283,100+0.2%28 vs 42
SaanichHouses$1,182,500+1.2%83 vs 87
LangfordHouses$966,000−7.8%33 vs 38
Oak BayHouses$1,660,000−5.1%14 vs 27
VictoriaCondos$506,000−4.5%60 vs 68
SaanichCondos$532,500−3.6%18 vs 24
LangfordCondos$499,900−7.6%21 vs 20
LangfordTownhomes$689,900−2.5%19 vs 20

The table repeats the single-month medians from the video. The map uses three months of sales, August to October against the same months last year, so more areas clear our 10-sale minimum; where three months is not enough it uses six and says so. Each name links to its municipality page.

Sold prices by street for October are open to members.

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05 · Off the MLS

About 1 in 10 registered sales never had a matching MLS® listing

BC Assessment reports every sale registered at the Land Title Office, whether or not it was listed. We check each one against MLS® records. Between July 2 and September 29, 2026, 1,926 residential sales were registered in Greater Victoria, and 195 of them (10.1%) had no matching MLS® listing.

No MLS® match195of 1,926 registered sales
First registered sale on record113no earlier sale in BC Assessment's records
Resales82had sold before
By property type
TypeNo MLS® matchShare
Houses (incl. suites)54 of 8966.0%
Condos85 of 66312.8%
Townhomes39 of 25415.4%
Duplexes10 of 7513.3%
Municipalities with 10 or more
MunicipalityNo MLS® matchShare
Langford68 of 34319.8%
Esquimalt16 of 8618.6%
Colwood15 of 10214.7%
Victoria29 of 4097.1%
Saanich33 of 5146.4%

If you only follow MLS® numbers, you miss about one sale in ten across the region, and closer to one in five in Langford and Esquimalt. The median registered price was $850,000 for sales with no MLS® match (195 sales) and $900,000 for matched sales (1,731). For houses: $1,112,500 (54) vs $1,196,500 (842).

See private and off-market sales across Greater Victoria

Source: BC Assessment Monthly Sales Report (file received October 13, 2026), licensed to 8X, aggregates only. Dates are Land Title Office registration dates, which can trail the sale by weeks or months, and the latest month in each file is incomplete. BC Assessment sends a new file about two weeks after each month ends, and this section updates when it arrives.

06 · On the ground

What it feels like

Buyers are back. They're just not in a hurry. When buyers come back, sellers don't raise prices the next morning. They wait to see if the traffic is real. And it's fall: some of what's still listed is what didn't sell in the spring, and some of those are worth a second look.

Dustin Miller, managing broker

07 · What it means

What October means for you

If you're buying

  • You have time, so use it. See it twice.
  • Keep your inspection and your conditions. Nobody needs to skip them in this market.
  • Condos and townhomes carry the most choice: 6.5 and 6.6 months of inventory.

If you're selling

  • The homes that sell are priced right on day one. The ones that sit usually get cut later anyway.
  • Price off homes like yours, on your street, not off a headline.
  • Townhome sellers have the most competition from buyers: 28.4% sold over asking.

Want the numbers for your street or building?

Send me the address and I'll pull what sold, what's for sale and what it means for you.

Send me the address or call 778-678-9815

Questions

Victoria market questions, answered with October data

Is Greater Victoria a buyer's or seller's market in October 2026?

It depends on the type. Houses were balanced at 4.4 months of inventory. Condos (6.5) and townhomes (6.6) were in buyer's market territory, and downtown condos were at 6.7. Under 4 months favours sellers, 4 to 6 is balanced, over 6 favours buyers.

What is the median house price in Greater Victoria?

The median house sold for $1,166,500 in October 2026, −0.7% from October 2025 (245 vs 299 sales).

What is the median condo price in Greater Victoria?

The median condo sold for $514,500 in October 2026, −3.8% from October 2025 (124 vs 147 sales).

What is the median townhome price in Greater Victoria?

The median townhome sold for $770,700 in October 2026, −3.0% from October 2025 (81 vs 76 sales).

Are Victoria home prices going up or down?

Flat to slightly down. All three types sold within 4% of October 2025: houses −0.7%, condos −3.8%, townhomes −3.0%. The board's benchmark for a Victoria core house rose 0.7%.

How many homes sold in Greater Victoria in October 2026?

467 homes sold in the 13 core municipalities, up 22% from 382 in September. The Victoria Real Estate Board, which covers a wider area, reported 573.

How long does it take to sell, and are homes selling over asking?

The median house sold in 30 days, condos and townhomes in 35. 11.8% of houses, 7.3% of condos and 28.4% of townhomes sold over asking. Houses sold for 97.7% of asking on average.

Why do 8X's numbers differ from the Victoria Real Estate Board's?

We count residential sales (houses, condos, townhomes) in the 13 core municipalities from Sooke to Sidney. The board's total also includes the Gulf Islands, Malahat, Shawnigan Lake, leasehold, land, manufactured homes and commercial sales.

How many Victoria home sales happen off the MLS?

In sales registered between July 2 and September 29, 2026, 195 of 1,926 residential sales (10.1%) had no matching MLS® listing, based on BC Assessment's sales report.

Data and method

  • Source: 8X Real Estate analysis of Victoria Real Estate Board MLS® data, pulled November 3, 2026 and treated as final for this report. Greater Victoria means the 13 core municipalities, Sooke to Sidney: residential only (houses, condos, townhomes), excluding the Gulf Islands, Malahat, Shawnigan Lake, leasehold, land and manufactured homes.
  • Sample rule: every percentage comes with its sale count, and we show no change where either month had fewer than 10 sales.
  • Months of inventory: month-end homes for sale divided by the average monthly sales over the last three months.
  • Medians and days: medians, not averages. Days runs from listing to accepted offer.
  • Board benchmark: MLS® Home Price Index, Victoria Core single family, from the Victoria Real Estate Board's November 2 release.
  • Off the MLS: BC Assessment Monthly Sales Report, aggregates only. We publish no individual registered prices here.

Previous month: August 2026 market update. Data for every municipality: Market Intelligence.

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About Author
Dustin Miller

Dustin Miller is the managing broker of 8X Real Estate. When he's not on the road, he is on his computer looking at real estate. You can often find Dustin at his office enjoying a bowl of won-ton soup.

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